Mar, 28, 2004 By Vikram Murarka 0 comments

FOLLOW UP - Bear SHS in Sterling?
In the last issue we had pointed out a three decade old Downtrend Resistance on the GBPUSD Monthly chart, which presaged weakness in GBPUSD. Technical Analysis is based on the assumption that ALL factors governing Price are in the Price itself and we can predict Price movements through the study of Charts. This assumption seems to be proving correct yet again. The Sterling seems to be developing a Bearish Shoulder Head on the Weekly chart (shown alongside), confirming the prognosis of the monthly chart.
If this works, Cable can fall to 1.73-1.70 over the next 4-8 weeks Negation would need a Week Close above 1.8589, as compared to the current level of 1.8158.
In our last report (29-Jun-26, UST10Y 4.39%) we had followed the fall in Crude to $73 to change our US10Yr forecast from a rise to 5.10% by Sep-26 to a slight dip to 4.30% by Sep-26; and instead of the earlier forecast of a rise to 5.4% by Jan-27, the changed forecast projected …. Read More
In our July 2026 report (6-Jul-26, Brent @ $71.94), we had expected Brent to test $64 before consolidating within the $64-90 range till Mar-27. Thereafter, the prices were expected to slowly rise back to … Read More
In our July 2026 report (10-Jul-26, EURUSD 1.1442), we expected the Euro to rise from support at 1.13 to 1.16 by Aug-26 before resuming its broader downtrend towards 1.12 by Oct-26 and 1.0950 by Jun-27. In line with this, the Euro tested 1.1547 in July-26 and 1.1581 in Aug-26, the recent rise triggered by weakness in …. Read More
Our last report on 13-Jul-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.74%) stood on a foundation of uncertainty regarding what happens in the Strait of Hormuz. We assumed that Crude would remains below $90, and hence we projected … Read More
In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to … Read More
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