Mar, 28, 2004 By Vikram Murarka 0 comments

FOLLOW UP - Bear SHS in Sterling?
In the last issue we had pointed out a three decade old Downtrend Resistance on the GBPUSD Monthly chart, which presaged weakness in GBPUSD. Technical Analysis is based on the assumption that ALL factors governing Price are in the Price itself and we can predict Price movements through the study of Charts. This assumption seems to be proving correct yet again. The Sterling seems to be developing a Bearish Shoulder Head on the Weekly chart (shown alongside), confirming the prognosis of the monthly chart.
If this works, Cable can fall to 1.73-1.70 over the next 4-8 weeks Negation would need a Week Close above 1.8589, as compared to the current level of 1.8158.
In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to … Read More
In our last report (29-Jul-26, UST10Y 4.62%) we had said there were greater chances of rate hike on 16-September; we had also called for higher Yields, targeting 4.75% on the US2Yr, 4.80% on the US5Yr and 5.00% on the US10Yr. Both the prognoses seem to be …. Read More
In our July 2026 report (6-Jul-26, Brent @ $71.94), we had expected Brent to test $64 before consolidating within the $64-90 range till Mar-27. Thereafter, the prices were expected to slowly rise back to … Read More
Euro has a positive correlation with US ISM since 2009, except in the period mid-2023 to mid-2025. Positive correlation suggests that while the US ISM rises in the coming months to 58-59, the Euro could rise or remain elevated within …. Read More
In our 05-Aug-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.82%), we projected a 6.63-6.95% range for a few months before a rise towards 7.10% by Jul-27, assuming Brent stayed within $75-95 before rising to $115. Brent is already up to $105, pushing the 10Yr GOI close to … Read More
Our September ’26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

