Mar, 28, 2004 By Vikram Murarka 0 comments
FOLLOW UP - Bear SHS in Sterling?
In the last issue we had pointed out a three decade old Downtrend Resistance on the GBPUSD Monthly chart, which presaged weakness in GBPUSD. Technical Analysis is based on the assumption that ALL factors governing Price are in the Price itself and we can predict Price movements through the study of Charts. This assumption seems to be proving correct yet again. The Sterling seems to be developing a Bearish Shoulder Head on the Weekly chart (shown alongside), confirming the prognosis of the monthly chart.
If this works, Cable can fall to 1.73-1.70 over the next 4-8 weeks Negation would need a Week Close above 1.8589, as compared to the current level of 1.8158.
Yields have risen across the Curve in line with the anticipations in our Dec-24 report (30-Nov-24, UST10Y 4.18%).Both the US5Yr and US10Yr have risen well as expected. Even the US2Yr has risen, but the rise is a little …. Read More
With the US economic data strong and stable, the earlier expected US slowdown has not played out, resulting in the crude price trading higher while above $70 (Brent). While there is uncertainty in the long-term direction for crude, as long as it stays within the range of $67-80 (Brent), we have kept our earlier forecasts intact this month. Supply from the OPEC countries is also likely to remain tight for the next couple of months. Additionally, a rising Dollar could keep the crude at the higher end of its sideways range for now … Read More
In our Dec-24 edition (12-Dec-24, EURUSD @ 1.0505), we expected the Euro to limit its downside to 1.0333 and bounce back towards 1.0650-1.08 by Feb-25 followed by an eventual rise to 1.09-1.11 by mid of 2025. But contrary to our expectations, Euro broke below 1.0333 and sustained lower towards 1.01. ……. Read More
Our January ’25 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Our January ’25 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.