Dollar Yen has seen a high near 111.4 already. How much more will it rise? Is it long term bullish or bearish? We answer the above and also analyze Nikkei, Euro Yen, Chinese Yuan and JPY-INR. Revised ....
Euro has already fallen to 1.175 from its 2018 high of 1.2556. How much further could it dip? Is Euro weakness (and hence, Dollar strength) here to stay in the long term? We answer these questions an ....
7-May-18: Brent 75.41; WTI 70.32
In the backdrop of Brent and WTI both achieving new highs, we explore when our predicted bearish turn could happen. For the first time, we explore EIA’s Dem ....
18-Apr-18: USDJPY 107.24/ EURJPY 132.80
RECAP
In our Mar-18 edition, we were looking for some stability in Dollar Yen within the 105-108 region. This has played out well with a bounce from a low of 10 ....
18-Apr 2018: Euro 1.236
RECAP
In our last report dated 01-Mar-18, we explored the possibility of Euro falling to 1.18-16 in April-June due to a possibly bullish Gold/WTI ratio and seemingly overbought ....
05-Mar-18: USDJPY 105.64
RECAP
In our 15-Jan-18 report (USDJPY was 110.70),we forecasted a possible range of 110-113 for the Feb-March period with a possible extension to 108-106.As it turns out, th ....
26-Mar-18: Brent 70.36; WTI 65.64
Brent and WTI could dip to 67 and 62 while below previous highs at 71.28 and 66.56 Below that, even 62.5 (B) and 57 (W) could come into play.
However, ....
1-Mar-18: Euro 1.218
RECAP
In our Jan’18 report, (http://colourofmoney.kshitij.com/euro-long-term-forecast-jan18/) we had expected resistance near 1.235 to hold in Jan, to be followed by a dip towar ....
22-Feb-18: Brent 65.25; WTI 61.34
RECAP
In line with the forecast in our Jan’18 report, a corrective dip in crude prices did take place (down to 61.76 in Brent and to 58.08 in WTI) after both saw ....
24-Jan-18: Euro 1.2342
RECAP
In our Sep’17 report we had retained the upside target of 1.2250, with a possibility of an interim dip towards 1.17/16. The market played out exactly as expected. A d ....
20-Jan-18: Brent 68.61
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Crude Oil looks set for a phase of correction after the recent rally, post which there will be medium term bullishness. Our prediction for a corrective phase ....
15-Jan-18: USDJPY 110.70 / EURJPY 135.28
RECAP
In our Sep’17 report, we had mentioned a possible range of 106-115 for the period of Oct’17 to Mar’18. The actual movement has been between 11 ....
12-Sep-17
Yen 109.32/ Gold 1326.44/ US-Japan 10Yr yield spread 2.06%
RECAP
We had two alternatives in our August report when USDJPY was 110.68: (1) Dollar-Yen breaks below 109.50 and sets up a sharp ....
7-September-17 / Euro 1.19796
RECAP
In our August ’17 forecast (Euro was 1.1772) we called for a rise to 1.2050 this quarter and to 1.2250 in the following 6 months. The actual high in August has b ....
05-Aug-17
Yen 110.68/ JPYINR 0.5747/ US-Japan 10Yr yield spread 2.20%
Recap:
We had expected Dollar Yen to test 115-116 in July followed by a corrective dip towards 112-111 levels in our July’17 ....
5-August-17 / Euro 1.1772
RECAP:
In our July’17 report, our bias was stated as neutral as Euro was standing at an inflection point. The success or failure to rise above the major resistance ....
AUDUSD 0.7928/ Copper 2.888 / CADUSD 0.7908/ AUDINR 50.467
Recap:
In the Jul’17 report when AUDUSD was 0.7602, we had expected a dip towards 0.75 in July followed by a sharp rise towards 0.78-0.8 ....
8-July-17 / Euro 1.1392
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:
In our Jun’17 report, we expected the resistance cluster of 1.1300-1.1450 to hold and either 1.1285 or 1.1400 (in the best case scenario) to be a major ....
08-Jul-17
Yen 113.87/ Nikkei 19929/ Gold 1212/ US-Japan 10Yr yield spread 2.31%
Recap:
In our Jun’17 report, Dollar Yen was expected to remain range bound in the 108-115 zone and neither of the ....
AUDUSD 0.7602/ Copper 2.65 / CADUSD 0.7769
Recap:
In the Jun’17 report (AUDUSD was 0.7523) we had kept our bullish stance for Aussie intact while waiting for confirmation on a break above 0.7750-0 ....
13-Jun-17
Yen 110.04/Nikkei 19899/ Gold 1265/ US-Japan 10Yr yield spread 2.15%
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:
Recap: In our May’17 report, Dollar Yen was expected to remain rangebound in 108-115 for th ....
9-June-17 / Euro 1.1194
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:
Recap: In our May’17 report, we expected an expansion of the Euro range of 1.05-1.10 as the quarterly amplitude was unsustainably low at that point but h ....
10-June-17 / AUDUSD 0.7523/ Copper 2.6445 / USDCAD 1.3470
Recap:
In the May report we had moderated our bullish view and stated a possibility of seeing a medium term bottom at 0.73 preceding the bul ....
09-May-17 / Yen 113.72/ US-Japan 10Yr yield spread 2.36%
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:
Recap: Dollar-Yen has bounced back from levels just above 108, mentioned as the low for Apr-Jun quarter in our previous re ....
9-May-17 / Euro 1.0907
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:
Recap: In our April’17 report, we expected Euro to be stable in the range of 1.05-1.10 for a couple of months followed by an expansion of the range with e ....
In our last report (26-Mar-24, US10Yr @ 4.25%), we were looking for the US10Yr to fall towards 3.8-3.5%, based on expectations of a fall in Crude and softer US data. However, we were wrong on both counts as …. Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr’24 Crude Oil Report
After breaking above the earlier range of $70-85, Brent has moved up higher. Will it sustain and break above $90? Or will it fall back to $80/70? … Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr ’24 EURUSD Report
Euro could not move above 1.0981 in March and has been trading well below 1.10 post the surprise rate cut by SNB last month. Will Euro continue to trade below 1.10? Or can it remain stable for a while and show a sharp breakout above 1.10? ……. Read More
WHAT'S NEW?
Apr ’24 Quarterly Forecast
Our April ’24 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.