Apr, 26, 2002 By Vikram Murarka 0 comments

It is important to know the characteristics of any market that we trade. This helps us approach the market with more awareness and reduces the element of surprise. It also helps us formulate our trading strategies.
In the following pages we try to answer the question, "How much do currencies move over various time frames". We have examined price data for EUR-USD, USD-JPY and USD-CHF for the last 3 years to see what is the Amplitude (difference between the High and Low) for these currencies over 1, 3 and 5 day time frames.
We believe that this might be helpful in 1) enabling us to choose a suitable Time Frame for our trading activity and 2) forming an idea of how much profit/ loss might be reasonably expected in our chosen time frames.
Put into other words, this is also an examination of the Volatility of the subject currencies in various time frames.
Please click on
EUR-USD
USD-JPY
USD-CHF
EURUSD Amplitude

USDJPY Amplitude

USDCHF Amplitude

In our last report (28-Mar-26, UST10Yr 4.43%), we had assumed little chances of the USA being able to easily extricate itself from the US-Israel-Iran war, and we said that as long Brent remains above $80, we can look for a sharper rise in the US10Yr towards …. Read More
In our April 2026 edition (7-Apr-26, Brent @ $111.48), we expected Brent to test $89.26 by Jun-26 followed by a rise to $145.13 by Sep-26 before consolidating between the two levels for the rest of the year. As expected, Brent did see a corrective dip to… Read More
In our April 2026 report (13-Apr-26, EURUSD 1.1686), we expected the Euro to rise to 1.1950 by May-26 while retaining our long-term bearishness towards 1.10 by Aug’26. The main reasons were good chances of a rise in the Dollar Index and crude prices. The markets expect the ECB to move. …. Read More
In our 07-Apr-26 report (10Yr GOI 7.05%) we had assigned a 65-70% probability to Crude rising towards $145 by Sep-26 and had said that this could cause the CPI to move up to 6.2% by Nov-26 and the 10Yr GOI to target 7.37% by Feb-27. Since then, Brent has seen two short-lived dips below $100 but has … Read More
In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to … Read More
Our May ’26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

