Apr, 26, 2002 By Vikram Murarka 0 comments
It is important to know the characteristics of any market that we trade. This helps us approach the market with more awareness and reduces the element of surprise. It also helps us formulate our trading strategies.
In the following pages we try to answer the question, "How much do currencies move over various time frames". We have examined price data for EUR-USD, USD-JPY and USD-CHF for the last 3 years to see what is the Amplitude (difference between the High and Low) for these currencies over 1, 3 and 5 day time frames.
We believe that this might be helpful in 1) enabling us to choose a suitable Time Frame for our trading activity and 2) forming an idea of how much profit/ loss might be reasonably expected in our chosen time frames.
Put into other words, this is also an examination of the Volatility of the subject currencies in various time frames.
Please click on
EUR-USD
USD-JPY
USD-CHF
EURUSD Amplitude
USDJPY Amplitude
USDCHF Amplitude
In our last report (04-Apr-25, UST10Yr 3.89%) we had said that the US10Yr could fall to 3.90-80% within April-May and then be ranged between 3.90-4.40% for a few months before falling further towards 3.4% by Nov-25. As expected, the US 10Yr rose from 3.86% to as high as 4.59%, surpassing the projected range high of 4.4%, as there was …. Read More
The Brent crude prices have declined well in line with the Dollar over the last few months on global trade tariffs. Will they continue to decline some more over the next few months, or can they start to reverse higher? … Read More
Has the Dollar Index bottomed out already and headed towards 102-104 suggesting a Euro top in place? Or can the Dollar Index face another leg of decline to 98-96 indicating that Euro could still have some scope to see fresh highs? …. Read More
Our May ’25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Our May’25 Monthly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.