Apr, 26, 2002 By Vikram Murarka 0 comments

It is important to know the characteristics of any market that we trade. This helps us approach the market with more awareness and reduces the element of surprise. It also helps us formulate our trading strategies.
In the following pages we try to answer the question, "How much do currencies move over various time frames". We have examined price data for EUR-USD, USD-JPY and USD-CHF for the last 3 years to see what is the Amplitude (difference between the High and Low) for these currencies over 1, 3 and 5 day time frames.
We believe that this might be helpful in 1) enabling us to choose a suitable Time Frame for our trading activity and 2) forming an idea of how much profit/ loss might be reasonably expected in our chosen time frames.
Put into other words, this is also an examination of the Volatility of the subject currencies in various time frames.
Please click on
EUR-USD
USD-JPY
USD-CHF
EURUSD Amplitude

USDJPY Amplitude

USDCHF Amplitude

In our last report (29-Jun-26, UST10Y 4.39%) we had followed the fall in Crude to $73 to change our US10Yr forecast from a rise to 5.10% by Sep-26 to a slight dip to 4.30% by Sep-26; and instead of the earlier forecast of a rise to 5.4% by Jan-27, the changed forecast projected …. Read More
In our July 2026 report (6-Jul-26, Brent @ $71.94), we had expected Brent to test $64 before consolidating within the $64-90 range till Mar-27. Thereafter, the prices were expected to slowly rise back to … Read More
In our July 2026 report (10-Jul-26, EURUSD 1.1442), we expected the Euro to rise from support at 1.13 to 1.16 by Aug-26 before resuming its broader downtrend towards 1.12 by Oct-26 and 1.0950 by Jun-27. In line with this, the Euro tested 1.1547 in July-26 and 1.1581 in Aug-26, the recent rise triggered by weakness in …. Read More
Our last report on 13-Jul-26 report (10Yr GOI 6.74%) stood on a foundation of uncertainty regarding what happens in the Strait of Hormuz. We assumed that Crude would remains below $90, and hence we projected … Read More
In our 10-Dec-25 report (USDJPY 156.70), we expected the USDJPY to trade within 154-158 region till Jan’26 before eventually rising in the long run. In line with our view, the pair limited the downside to … Read More
Our August ’26 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.

