Is global inflation set to dip during 2018 to 2020?

Sep, 28, 2018 By C S Vijayalakshmi 0 comments

Actual global inflation for 2017 came out at 3.8%, much higher than the consensus forecast of 3.27%. Consensus forecasts for 2018 (3.6%) & 2019 (3.34%) have also been gradually revised upwards in the last 6-8 months. However, relative to 2017, inflation is expected to decrease through 2018 to 2020. Could this fall in inflation be a consequence of tightening by major Central Banks globally? For more such research, keep visiting https://kshitij.com/economic-calendar. For our Crude Oil Forecast Service, visit https://kshitij.com/crude-oil-forecast

C S Vijayalakshmi

Vijayalakshmi has the rare ability to look at charts using both Classical charting as well as Elliot Waves, which she combines with excellent proficiency in Excel. A growing presence in the social media sphere, she is also an accomplished danseuse and choreographer.

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In our Nov-24 report (31-Oct-24, US10Yr @ 4.26%), we had said that it was possible that the FED may cut rates by at least another 50bp in 2024; that the fall in the US10Yr from 5.02% is over and an immediate dip from 4.4% to 4.0-3.8% could give way to an eventual rise past 4.8% towards 5.0%. In line with that, the FED did cut rates by 25bp in November. Although the US 10Yr rose to …. Read More

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Dec’24 Crude Oil Report

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With recent US economic data coming out strong, there has been reduced chances for an immediate economic slowdown in the US. Will this reduce chances of a decline in the crude prices and continue to keep it ranged? Or can there still be a significant movement in crude in the coming months?. … Read More

WHAT'S NEW?

Dec ’24 EURUSD Report

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In line with our alternate view in our Nov-24 edition (13-Nov-24, EURUSD @ 1.0615), Euro did break below 1.06 and fell to a low of 1.0333 in Nov-24. However, it could not sustain at the lows and have bounced back well to ……. Read More