Oct, 26, 2017 By Vikram Murarka 0 comments
Our apologies that we were unable to publish this report in October 2017. In our last report dated 04-Sep-17, we said, “We remain cautious on the Dow and Sensex and bullish on the Shanghai, which is likely to outperform both.” We have been surprised by the continued strength in Dow Jones (23329) which has broken well above 22500 instead of starting a decline towards 20000. The Sensex (33056) has also moved up from 31809 instead of falling towards 30000. Thankfully, our bullishness on the Shanghai paid off a bit, although it could not compensate for our bearishness on the Dow and on the Sensex.
While we have been surprised by the continued bullishness in global Equities in the last couple of months, we still see limited upside over the next month or two and still see chances of a corrective fall thereafter.
In line with expectations in our last report (07-Mar-25, UST10Yr 4.27%), Yields have come down across the Curve. Although the Citi Surprise Index moving up during the month, the economic data has been mixed. While the IIP, Capacity Utilisation and Retail Sales have risen by varying …. Read More
Brent has been narrowing its trade range since Oct-23, keeping its bottom floored near $67/68 region. Will the Mar-25 low of $68.33 hold and help the crude prices to move up to the higher end of the range in the coming months? Or will global scenario impact crude and force it to break below the $68/67 floor? … Read More
Admist Global trade tariff announcements, market volatility ECB rate cut expectations and economic growth concerns will the Euro manage to hold below the immediate resistance near 1.12? Or will the global scenario force the Euro to surge beyond 1.12? ……. Read More
Our April ’25 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Our April ’25 Dollar Rupee Quarterly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.