Oct, 26, 2017 By Vikram Murarka 0 comments
Our apologies that we were unable to publish this report in October 2017. In our last report dated 04-Sep-17, we said, “We remain cautious on the Dow and Sensex and bullish on the Shanghai, which is likely to outperform both.” We have been surprised by the continued strength in Dow Jones (23329) which has broken well above 22500 instead of starting a decline towards 20000. The Sensex (33056) has also moved up from 31809 instead of falling towards 30000. Thankfully, our bullishness on the Shanghai paid off a bit, although it could not compensate for our bearishness on the Dow and on the Sensex.
While we have been surprised by the continued bullishness in global Equities in the last couple of months, we still see limited upside over the next month or two and still see chances of a corrective fall thereafter.
Assuming greater chances of a slowdown rather than a recession, we project the US10Yr to rise towards 5.25% (May-25), followed by a dip towards 4.55% (Jul-25) and then another rise back towards …. Read More
In our last report (10-Jan-25, Brent $76.95), we expected Brent to remain between $80-60 region with an initial test of $80 in Jan-25 itself before falling to $60 by Jun-25. Thereafter the price was expected to rise slowly in the second half of the year. Brent rose to a high of $82.63, past our Range Top of $80, but has fallen back below $80 from there. … Read More
In our Jan-25 edition (18-Jan-25, EURUSD @ 1.0287), we expected the Euro to come down towards Parity by Mar-25 while below 1.0450 and then rise to 1.06 by Dec-25. In actuality, the EURUSD stayed above 1.025 and rose to 1.0534 ……. Read More
Our February ’25 Monthly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Our January ’25 Quarterly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.