Oct, 26, 2017 By Vikram Murarka 0 comments
Our apologies that we were unable to publish this report in October 2017. In our last report dated 04-Sep-17, we said, “We remain cautious on the Dow and Sensex and bullish on the Shanghai, which is likely to outperform both.” We have been surprised by the continued strength in Dow Jones (23329) which has broken well above 22500 instead of starting a decline towards 20000. The Sensex (33056) has also moved up from 31809 instead of falling towards 30000. Thankfully, our bullishness on the Shanghai paid off a bit, although it could not compensate for our bearishness on the Dow and on the Sensex.
While we have been surprised by the continued bullishness in global Equities in the last couple of months, we still see limited upside over the next month or two and still see chances of a corrective fall thereafter.
In our last report (02-May-25, UST10Yr 4.24%) we had expected the US2Yr to rise to 4% by July and then fall to 3.2% by October. However, the US2Yr has risen to a high of 4.07% already. The US10Yr was expected to be ranged between …. Read More
Expected increase in oil supply by OPEC, a possible shallow recession in the US and lower global growth consensus may weigh on the crude prices in the near term and keep it lower. However, we need to keep an eye on the final trade tariff deals between … Read More
Euro has moved up sharply over the last 4-5 months and faced volatility admist the trade tariff talks and other geopolitical tensions globally. Will the uptrend continue and take it to fresh highs in the coming months? Or can there be any corrective consolidation or decline? …. Read More
Our June ’25 Dollar Rupee Monthly Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.
Our June’25 Monthly Dollar-Rupee Forecast is now available. To order a PAID copy, please click here and take a trial of our service.