RESEARCH

Kshitij Reliability Chart Feb18
  By saandhy     0 comments

How much of the market movement do our forecasts capture? How much can you rely on our Dollar-Rupee forecasts? One way we answer that question is by measuring and tracking our Reliability over time ....


Brent Crude Quarterly Projections till Dec18
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20-Jan-18: Brent 68.61   Crude Oil looks set for a phase of correction after the recent rally, post which there will be medium term bullishness. Our prediction for a corrective ph ....


10 Yr German Bund/TBond Spread
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WHAT IS THE ONE FACTOR TO WATCH FOR IN CURRENCIES? There seem to be so many variables that impact currencies, so much news and data releases to follow, so much to keep track of, that it is easy to ge ....


USDINR View Mar'16
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Highlights of Kshitij Forecasts: 2016 Kshitij has been making long term forecast for almost the last 16 years to help you meet with the oppurtunities that the market inevitably brings. We ....


US 10 year Tbond Yields
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:   Our last reading was for chances of slow decline towards 2.3-2.2% through Feb and March which did not happen, as Yellen possibly does not want to fall "behind the curve" and has ....


Kshitij 21 Years of Reliability
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Merriam Webster defines “Quality assurance” as “a program for the systematic monitoring and evaluation of the various aspects of a project, service or facility to ensure that standards of qualit ....


Dow Log Chart
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02-Nov-16 / DJIA 17960 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: The US stock market generally remains unaffected by the presidential election in the long run, as evident from the chart below. Except for the tenure of Geo ....


Global GDP Growth Forecasts
  By viji     2 comments

05-August-16 Real World GDP 2015: 3.1% / Current Global GDP consensus: 3.04% (2016) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY It is to be reasonably expected that initial forecasts of global GDP forecasts may be off the ma ....


Brent Rupee Corelation
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02-May-16 / Brent 45.91 / USDINR 66.44 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Contrary to the popular notion, data shows that Rupee & Brent Crude move mostly in a similar direction and not opposite to each other. T ....


Equity is completely different from other classes of Investments
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26-Apr-16Dow Jones @ 17990 Could we be on the cusp of a gigantic bull run in the Dow Jones?  If history repeats itself, the chances would be high. In the last 115 years, there have been two periods ....


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I must be wrong only. But generally, a crisis does not hit when everyone out there is looking for it. It generally has an element of surprise, no?May 2014, Modi could do no wrong. The stock markets we ....


India & USA Industrial Growth
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Indian IIP data for Nov-14 (+3.8% y/y) was released on 12-Jan-15. It has moved up smartly from the -4.2%. growth for Oct-14. But is that unequivocal good news? This report looks at the Indian IIP gro ....


EURUSD vs 10yrBund
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In this issue Yield Differentials suggests strength in EUR-USD going forward Corrigendum – The Sensex has strength of its own also Yield Differentials suggest strength in EUR-USD going forw ....


India's Current Account
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"Where is the market going?” is the foremost thought that occupies most market participants most of the time. In general the reference is to Price - whether it is going up, down or sideways. The mor ....


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Nymex Crude, Feb Futures: $92.69 Crude Oil futures have been in a bull market for the last 9 years, rising 867% from a low of $10.35 (Dec-98) to a high of $100.09 (Jan-08). In such a situation, it is ....


Sensex Log Chart
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Sensex: 19058.67 Recap 22 moons ago, on 20-Jan-2006 , when the Sensex was 9311, we had said that “..although the Sensex has risen 300% since April-2003, there could still be a lot of room on the u ....


US 10-Year Yield and Fed Funds - Inversion not necessary for Recession
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Conventional market wisdom tells us that Yield Inversion usually leads to a recession. Yield inversion happens when long-term yields trade below short term yields. Most of the time, the focus of the i ....


Sensex and GDP Growth
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Sensex: 9311.19 Happy New Year ! Gentle Reader, this issue comes out after a considerable gap (so what's new?) and you could say we've been lazy. We would say we've been busy making money for Clie ....


Difference between 10-Year German Bund and the 10-Year US Treasury Bond
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The best long-term investors do not enter into the age old "Fundamentals v/s Technicals" debate. They try and combine both techniques to their advantage. This article focuses on how both Fundamentals ....


Flags and Pennants
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A few words .... We used to bring out "The Colour of Money" as a weekly forecast of the currency markets some years ago and it used to be well appreciated by a few connoisseurs. However, we discontin ....


TWEETS


01Feb18 #Euro 1.2429: As expected, #Euro is ranged between 1.2475 and 1.2350 even after the FOMC. A break below 1.2… https://t.co/tIzmON0GyT

20 days ago  

31Jan18 #Euro 1.2435: Tonight is crucial. FOMC, State of the Union. Yesterday Mnuchin con... https://t.co/6dPYQfpEFO https://t.co/6dPYQfpEFO

21 days ago  

#EURJPY if falls towards 130, may pull down USDJPY and EURO in the coming sessions. http... https://t.co/OlTjArK0y3 https://t.co/OlTjArK0y3

41 days ago  

#EURJPY if falls towards 130, may pull down USDJPY and EURO in the coming sessions. http... https://t.co/OlTjArK0y3 https://t.co/OlTjArK0y3

41 days ago